Geopolitical Strategic Competition

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Research

May 5, 2026

China's Science and Technology Strategy in Perspective: Historical Evolution, Political Drivers, and Global Implications

In this report, the authors analyze how China conceptualizes science and technology as part of the country's broader national strategy by drawing on a variety of government documents, literature, and international reports.
Expert Insights

May 4, 2026

Contingency Frameworks for Future U.S.-China Cooperation on AI Assurance and Security: Preserving Strategic Optionality

The author aims to inform artificial intelligence contingency planning under the premise that preserving strategic optionality for future U.S.-China engagement serves U.S. interests. He proposes five potential lines of effort for doing so.
Expert Insights

Apr 29, 2026

Exploring Instability Risks in the U.S.-China AI Rivalry: Breakwater Game Overview and Initial Observations

This paper presents an overview and observations on Breakwater, a game that explores instability risks in the U.S.-China rivalry and race to artificial general intelligence.
Expert Insights

Apr 27, 2026

The AGI Rideout Strategy for Reducing Strategic Risk and Promoting Stability in the Transition to Artificial General Intelligence

The authors describe an artificial general intelligence (AGI) Rideout strategy to avoid geopolitical risks in the race toward and transition to AGI. The strategy prioritizes deterring conflicts and increasing U.S. tech infrastructure resilience.
Article

Apr 23, 2026

Can China Stop Its Demographic Slide? Can the United States?

China's fertility decline could strain its government, undermine its security, and sap its economic energy. That may seem like an advantage for the United States, but U.S. fertility rates are slipping, too.
Research

Apr 23, 2026

China Plans for 'Total War': Developing the Capacity to Defeat the 'Strong Enemy' of the United States

This report examines the CCP's "total war" national security concept, which integrates civilian and military capabilities to counter the United States.
Expert Insights

Apr 16, 2026

AI Implications for Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defense Policy and Programs: A Strategic Analytic Research Agenda

Artificial intelligence is reshaping chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear deterrence, posing new risks and opportunities. This paper outlines a roadmap to guide research and policy on challenges amid rising global technological rivalry.
Article

Apr 14, 2026

Could Deep Sea Mining Break China's Grip on Critical Minerals?

What look like seabed rocks are polymetallic nodules, rich in the minerals that drive modern economies. They could help break U.S. reliance on China, which controls the market. But nobody has ever mined seabed nodules at scale, much less processed them for industrial use.
Research

Apr 14, 2026

Building the Knowledge and Skills the U.S. Air Force Needs for Strategic Competition with China: Sharpening the Sword and Burnishing the Shield

The authors assess how the U.S. Air Force develops and utilizes China-relevant expertise and identify systemic gaps that limit the service’s ability to build, sustain, and use the capabilities needed for long-term strategic competition with China.
Research

Mar 27, 2026

Implications of Chinese Influence Operations for South Korea and the US-ROK Alliance

Considering Chinese influence operations and their impacts on South Korean security and society.
Expert Insights

Mar 26, 2026

Open Models, Soft Power, and the Spectrum of U.S.-China Artificial Intelligence Competition

The authors analyze the United States' and China's respective artificial intelligence (AI) action plans, how AI companies in both countries approach open-source AI models, and the implications for U.S. soft power.
Expert Insights

Mar 18, 2026

Proposing New Metrics for Economic Security Policy: A Worker Return-on-Investment Scorecard

This paper offers a new way to study how tools of economic statecraft — such as sanctions and export controls — affect U.S. workers. The proposed scorecard would help policymakers ensure that workers are not sidelined in economic security decisions.

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Geopolitical Strategic Competition

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China's Science and Technology Strategy in Perspective: Historical Evolution, Political Drivers, and Global Implications

Contingency Frameworks for Future U.S.-China Cooperation on AI Assurance and Security: Preserving Strategic Optionality

Exploring Instability Risks in the U.S.-China AI Rivalry: Breakwater Game Overview and Initial Observations

The AGI Rideout Strategy for Reducing Strategic Risk and Promoting Stability in the Transition to Artificial General Intelligence

Can China Stop Its Demographic Slide? Can the United States?

China Plans for 'Total War': Developing the Capacity to Defeat the 'Strong Enemy' of the United States

AI Implications for Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defense Policy and Programs: A Strategic Analytic Research Agenda

Could Deep Sea Mining Break China's Grip on Critical Minerals?

Building the Knowledge and Skills the U.S. Air Force Needs for Strategic Competition with China: Sharpening the Sword and Burnishing the Shield

Implications of Chinese Influence Operations for South Korea and the US-ROK Alliance

Open Models, Soft Power, and the Spectrum of U.S.-China Artificial Intelligence Competition

Proposing New Metrics for Economic Security Policy: A Worker Return-on-Investment Scorecard

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Geopolitical Strategic Competition

Geopolitical Strategic Competition

Related Topics

How Can the United States Thrive in the AI Era?

Russia in the High North

Explore RAND’s Work on this Topic

Error

China's Science and Technology Strategy in Perspective: Historical Evolution, Political Drivers, and Global Implications

Contingency Frameworks for Future U.S.-China Cooperation on AI Assurance and Security: Preserving Strategic Optionality

Exploring Instability Risks in the U.S.-China AI Rivalry: Breakwater Game Overview and Initial Observations

The AGI Rideout Strategy for Reducing Strategic Risk and Promoting Stability in the Transition to Artificial General Intelligence

Can China Stop Its Demographic Slide? Can the United States?

China Plans for 'Total War': Developing the Capacity to Defeat the 'Strong Enemy' of the United States

AI Implications for Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defense Policy and Programs: A Strategic Analytic Research Agenda

Could Deep Sea Mining Break China's Grip on Critical Minerals?

Building the Knowledge and Skills the U.S. Air Force Needs for Strategic Competition with China: Sharpening the Sword and Burnishing the Shield

Implications of Chinese Influence Operations for South Korea and the US-ROK Alliance

Open Models, Soft Power, and the Spectrum of U.S.-China Artificial Intelligence Competition

Proposing New Metrics for Economic Security Policy: A Worker Return-on-Investment Scorecard

Oops! An unexpected error has occurred.