The RAND Forecasting Initiative Delivers Decisionmakers Unique Insights by Refining the Wisdom of the Crowd

Published May 22, 2025

The RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI) aims to become the world's leading crowdsourced forecasting enterprise on policy questions. As a methods center within the RAND Global and Emerging Risks division, RFI refines crowdsourced forecasts to inform policy decisions. With predictions backed by probabilities and detailed rationales, RFI's state-of-the-art forecasting platform and trained forecasters help decisionmakers peer over the horizon.

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The RAND Forecasting Initiative Delivers Decisionmakers Unique Insights by Refining the Wisdom of the Crowd. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2025. https://www.rand.org/pubs/corporate_pubs/CPA3490-2-v2.html.
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This publication supersedes a previous version published in 2024 (CP-A3490-2).